The Value Betting Blog

The Simple Science of Profitable Betting

Sports Betting System Simulation: Advanced Calculator

This one is pretty cool, even by our standards.. below is our advanced betting simulation; a calculator that shows the efficacy of your betting system based on a few basic metrics. Check it out: (and scroll down for a full explanation)   This is a pretty powerful calculator, so before you start plugging in numbers, […]

Miguel Figueres Moreno 23.01.2021

No Limit Bookmakers: Bookies That Don’t Limit Accounts 2021

Having your betting account limited is a frustrating inevitability for profitable sports bettors. A ‘no limit bookmaker’ would be a godsend. Well.. ask and you shall receive. They do exist. Personally, I think it’s pretty poor form to cut someone off for winning. Shouldn’t the possibility of losing be inherent in any company that’s built […]

Jake Windram-Ashby 13.01.2021

Best Betting Exchange: Full Guide For 2020

The rise of betting exchanges over the last decade has opened the punting world up to a sea of new systems, new ways to bet, and new profitable opportunities. But which is the best betting exchange? I’ll guide you through the list and tell you who comes out on top! I have just read surely […]

Jake Windram-Ashby 06.01.2021

What Is Expected Value? EV Calculator For Betting

Expected Value (EV) is the most simple of all betting equations: Expected Value is the predicted value of a variable, calculated as the sum of all possible values each multiplied by the probability of its occurrence Simply, Expected Value is the average result you should expect to receive from any given bet or equation Here […]

Jake Windram-Ashby 01.01.2021

How to Become A Sports Trader w/ Harout Massoyan

There is a lot of confusion when it comes to professional sports betting. Is it a daily grind, or is it passive and algorithmic? Do you wait and pick your spots, or do you attack the market aggressively? The answer: all of the above. From tipsters to machine learning algorithms, matched bettors to sports traders; […]

Jake Windram-Ashby 12.12.2020

How To Design A Sports Betting Strategy: Advanced Guide

In our previous article, we introduced three ways of testing your skill in sports betting: Betting with a small bankroll Backtesting Closing Line Value By the way, the smallest bankroll you can bet with is… 0. You can track your “virtual” bets in a spreadsheet and try to win, before putting a single dollar at […]

Miguel Figueres Moreno 01.12.2020

How To Get Your Betting Account Unrestricted

Having your profitable betting account restricted is demoralising. In my view, it’s also unethical. Well, we found a loophole, check this out… Now, this article is specifically about beating the system; a how-to article on how our own @Miguel_Figueres was able to get unrestricted. For methods to sidestep getting restricted at all, check this out […]

Jake Windram-Ashby 21.11.2020

Testing Your Betting System: Starters Guide

If you don’t know how to test your betting system, you’re flying blind. I’ll breakdown why we test, the forms of testing, and the methods used to test our betting systems. You could call every stage of betting a form of testing: While you are gathering information to create the grounding of your system; you’re […]

Jake Windram-Ashby 14.11.2020

8 Things ACTUAL Profitable Bettors Never Say

There are a whole lot of people who claim to be profitable bettors, but only a small percentage who actually are. Thankfully, it’s really not that hard to identify someone who is stretching the truth… They say some silly things. Here’s 8. Summary “I’ve got a sure thing, my friend has insider knowledge!” Let’s start […]

Jake Windram-Ashby 20.10.2020