The Value Betting Blog

The Simple Science of Profitable Betting

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How To Design A Sports Betting Strategy: Advanced Guide

In our previous article, we introduced three ways of testing your skill in sports betting: Betting with a small bankroll Backtesting Closing Line Value By the way, the smallest bankroll you can bet with is… 0. You can track your “virtual” bets in a spreadsheet and try to win, before putting a single dollar at […]

Miguel Figueres Moreno 01.12.2020

Testing Your Betting System: Starters Guide

If you don’t know how to test your betting system, you’re flying blind. I’ll breakdown why we test, the forms of testing, and the methods used to test our betting systems. You could call every stage of betting a form of testing: While you are gathering information to create the grounding of your system; you’re […]

Jake Windram-Ashby 14.11.2020

The Value Betting System – Simply Profitable

Making consistent money betting is not rocket science, in fact, the methodology behind it is incredibly simple. Value Betting. In this article, I will show you the simple but effective method of Value Betting, how it works, why it works and how to implement a Value Betting System! Summary What Are Value Bets? Value Bets […]

Jake Windram-Ashby 14.07.2020

P-Value and Expected Maximum Drawdown Calculator

Summary In this entry you can find an Excel spreadsheet to calculate the values of: P-Value: The probability of a sports betting yield being a result of luck Expected Maximum Drawdown: The average drawdown of a series of bets P-Value and Expected Maximum Drawdown Calculator PVALUE_EMDD_BANKROLL.xlsm (update 8/7/20) P-Value The p-value calculated in the PVALUE_EMDD_BANKROLL.xlsm […]

Miguel Figueres Moreno 26.03.2020